Roque, On Jul 26, 2007, at 5:03 AM, Roque Gagliano wrote:
Two things, first big address consumption ISPs at the bigger RIR regionswill not base their business plans on the possibility of getting addresses at LACNIC or AFRINIC, they will transit to IPv6.
No they won't. They will do whatever is necessary to obtain the IPv4 address space they need to continue business.
You appear to be assuming the primary reason people haven't migrated to IPv6 is because IPv4 is easily available. I do not believe this to be the case. People haven't migrated because:
a) customers don't want IPv6 (nor do they want IPv4 -- they want "the Web"/their pr0n, they don't care about the details).
b) migrating to IPv6 has real costs and because of (a), there are no additional revenues to cover that cost.
c) they _can't_ migrate because their equipment/software vendors don't yet support IPv6.
d) etc.Rearranging where the IPv4 free pool sits isn't going to help things all that much (although it might remove IANA as the target for lawyers, thanks! :-)). Large scale ISPs have the resources to set up offices in Latin America and Africa (and the resources, far more than those NICs do, to bury the NICs under paperwork to justify their requests). The folks who will lose are the smaller ISPs in the regions served by the larger NICs who lack those resources. The winners will be those with lots of IPv4 addresses.
Rgds, -drc